Projection methods

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  • Authors: Goerndt, Michael E.; Moser, W. Keith; Miles, Patrick D.; Wear, Dave; DeSantis, Ryan D.; Huggett, Robert J.; Shifley, Stephen R.; Aguilar, Francisco X.; Skog, Kenneth E.
  • Publication Year: 2016
  • Publication Series: Book Chapter
  • Source: In: Shifley, Stephen R.; Moser, W. Keith, eds. Future forests of the northern United States. Gen. Tech. Rep. NRS-151. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station: 13-42. Chapter 2.

Abstract

One purpose of the Northern Forest Futures Project is to predict change in future forest attributes across the 20 States in the U.S. North for the period that extends from 2010 to 2060. The forest attributes of primary interest are the 54 indicators of forest sustainability identified in the Montreal Process Criteria and Indicators (Montreal Process Working Group, n.d.; USDA FS 2011). However, some indictors are virtually impossible to forecast for future decades, so we concentrated on the forest characteristics that have quantitative or experiential bases for forecasting future change. When possible, future forest attributes for individual States were projected and summarized, and then aggregated to estimate change for the North.

  • Citation: Goerndt, Michael E.; Moser, W. Keith; Miles, Patrick D.; Wear, David N.; DeSantis, Ryan D.; Huggett, Robert J., Jr.; Shifley, Stephen R.; Aguilar, Francisco X.; Skog, Kenneth E. 2016. Projection methods. In: Shifley, Stephen R.; Moser, W. Keith, eds. Future forests of the northern United States. Gen. Tech Rep. NRS-151. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station. Chapter 2: 13-42.
  • Posted Date: February 29, 2016
  • Modified Date: November 28, 2017
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