Scott Goodrick

Center Director / Research Meteorologist

320 Green Street
Athens, GA 30602-2044

Phone: 706-559-4237
scott.l.goodrick@usda.gov

Publications
and Products
Research
Highlights

Featured Publications and Products

Waldrop, Thomas A.; Goodrick, Scott L. 2012. Introduction to prescribed fires in Southern ecosystems.
Goodrick, Scott L.; Achtemeier, Gary L.; Larkin, Narasimhan K.; Liu, Yongqiang; Strand, Tara M. (. 2012. Modelling smoke transport from wildland fires: a review.
Werth, Paul A.; Potter, Brian E.; Clements, Craig B.; Finney, Mark A.; Goodrick, Scott L.; Alexander, Martin E.; Cruz, Miguel G.; Forthofer, Jason A.; McAllister, Sara S. 2011. Synthesis of knowledge of extreme fire behavior: volume I for fire managers.

Publications

Zhang, Aoxing ; Liu, Yongqiang; Goodrick, Scott; Williams, Marcus. 2022. Duff burning from wildfires in a moist region: different impacts on PM2.5 and ozone.
Goodrick, Scott L.; Tarnay, Leland W.; Anderson, Bret A.; Coen, Janice L.; Furman, James H.; Linn, Rodman ; Riggan, Philip J.; Schmidt, Christopher C. 2022. Fire Behavior and Heat Release as Source Conditions for Smoke Modeling.
Desai, Ajinkya ; Goodrick, Scott ; Banerjee, Tirtha . 2022. Investigating the turbulent dynamics of small-scale surface fires.
Liu, Yongqiang ; Heilman, Warren E.; Potter, Brian E.; Clements, Craig B.; Jackson, William A.; French, Nancy H. F.; Goodrick, Scott L.; Kochanski, Adam K.; Larkin, Narasimhan K.; Lahm, Peter W.; Brown, Timothy J.; Schwarz, Joshua P.; Strachan, Sara M.; Zhao, Fengjun . 2022. Smoke Plume Dynamics.
Loudermilk, E. Louise; O'Brien, Joseph J.; Goodrick, Scott L.; Linn, Rodman R.; Skowronski, Nicholas S.; Hiers, J. Kevin. 2022. Vegetation’s influence on fire behavior goes beyond just being fuel.
Flanagan, Steven A.; Hiers, J. Kevin; Callaham, Mac A.; Goodrick, Scott ; O’Brien, Joseph J.; Starr, Gregory ; Wiesner, Susanne ; Klepzig, Kier D.; Loudermilk, E. Louise. 2021. A model comparison of fire return interval impacts on carbon and species dynamics in a southeastern U.S. pineland.
Liu, Yongqiang; Goodrick, Scott; Stanturf, John. 2021. Climate Downscaling for Fire Managemen.
Greenberg, Cathryn H.; Collins, Beverly S.; Goodrick, Scott ; Stambaugh, Michael C.; Wein, Gary R. 2021. Introduction to fire ecology across USA forested ecosystems: Past, present, and future.
Linn, Rodman R.; Winterkamp, Judith L.; Furman, James H.; Williams, Brett ; Hiers, J. Kevin; Jonko, Alexandra ; O’Brien, Joseph J.; Yedinak, Kara M.; Goodrick, Scott . 2021. Modeling Low Intensity Fires: Lessons Learned from 2012 RxCADRE.
Rowell, Eric ; Loudermilk, E. Louise; Hawley, Christie ; Pokswinski, Scott ; Seielstad, Carl ; Queen, LLoyd ; O'Brien, Joseph J.; Hudak, Andrew T.; Goodrick, Scott ; Hiers, J. Kevin. 2020. Coupling terrestrial laser scanning with 3D fuel biomass sampling for advancing wildland fuels characterization.
Banerjee, Tirtha ; Heilman, Warren ; Goodrick, Scott ; Hiers, J. Kevin; Linn, Rod . 2020. Effects of canopy midstory management and fuel moisture on wildfire behavior.
Hiers, J. Kevin; O’Brien, Joseph J.; Varner, J. Morgan; Butler, Bret W.; Dickinson, Matthew ; Furman, James ; Gallagher, Michael ; Godwin, David ; Goodrick, Scott L.; Hood, Sharon M.; Hudak, Andrew ; Kobziar, Leda N.; Linn, Rodman ; Loudermilk, E. Louise; McCaffrey, Sarah ; Robertson, Kevin ; Rowell, Eric M.; Skowronski, Nicholas ; Watts, Adam C.; Yedinak, Kara M. 2020. Prescribed fire science: the case for a refined research agenda.
Linn, R.R. ; Goodrick, S.L. ; Brambilla, S. ; Brown, M.J. ; Middleton, R.S. ; O'Brien, J.J. ; Hiers, J.K. . 2020. QUIC-fire: A fast-running simulation tool for prescribed fire planning.
Johnson Gaither, Cassandra ; Afrin, Sadia ; Garcia-Menendez, Fernando ; Odman, M. Talat; Huang, Ran ; Goodrick, Scott ; Ricardo da Silva, Alan . 2019. African American exposure to prescribed fire smoke in Georgia, USA.
Liu, Yongqiang ; Kochanski, Adam ; Baker, Kirk R.; Mell, William ; Linn, Rodman ; Paugam, Ronan ; Mandel, Jan ; Fournier, Aime ; Jenkins, Mary Ann; Goodrick, Scott ; Achtemeier, Gary ; Zhao, Fengjun ; Ottmar, Roger ; French, Nancy H. F.; Larkin, Narasimhan ; Brown, Timothy ; Hudak, Andrew ; Dickinson, Matthew ; Potter, Brian ; Clements, Craig ; Urbanski, Shawn ; Prichard, Susan ; Watts, Adam ; McNamara, Derek . 2019. Fire behaviour and smoke modelling: model improvement and measurement needs for next-generation smoke research and forecasting systems.
Flanagan, Steven A.; Bhotika, Smriti; Hawley, Christie; Starr, Gregory; Wiesner, Susanne; Hiers, J. Kevin; O'Brien, Joseph; Goodrick, Scott; Callaham Jr., Mac A.; Scheller, Robert M.; Klepzig, Kier D.; Taylor, R. Scott; Loudermilk, E. Louise. 2019. Quantifying carbon and species dynamics under different fire regimes in a southeastern U.S. pineland.
Loudermilk, E. Louise; Dyer, Lee ; Pokswinski, Scott ; Hudak, Andrew T.; Hornsby, Benjamin ; Richards, Lora ; Dell, Jane ; Goodrick, Scott L.; Hiers, J. Kevin; O'Brien, Joseph J. 2019. Simulating groundcover community assembly in a frequently burned ecosystem using a simple neutral model.
Zhao, Fengjun ; Liu, Yongqiang ; Goodrick, Scott ; Hornsby, Benjamin ; Schardt, Jeffrey . 2019. The contribution of duff consumption to fire emissions and air pollution of the Rough Ridge Fire.
Aragón, Amanda ; Gaither, Cassandra Johnson; Madden, Marguerite ; Goodrick, Scott . 2019. The “Efficiency Concern”: Exploring wildfire risk on heirs’ property in Macon‑Bibb County, Georgia, United States of America.
Aragon, Amanda ; Johnson Gaither, Cassandra ; Madden, Marguerite ; Goodrick, Scott . 2019. The “efficiency concern”: Exploring wildfire risk on heirs’ property in Macon‑Bibb County, Georgia, United States of America.
Srock, Alan ; Charney, Joseph ; Potter, Brian ; Goodrick, Scott . 2018. The hot-dry-windy index: A new fire weather index.
Liu, Yongqiang; Goodrick, Scott; Achtemeier, Gary. 2018. The weather conditions for desired smoke plumes at a FASMEE burn site.
Kaulfus, Aaron S.; Nair, Udaysankar ; Jaffe, Daniel ; Christopher, Sundar A.; Goodrick, Scott . 2017. Biomass burning smoke climatology of the United States: Implications for particulate matter air quality.
Liu, Yongqiang; Kochanski, Adam; Baker, Kirk; Mell, Ruddy; Linn, Rodman; Paugam, Ronan; Mandel, Jan; Fournier, Aime; Jenkins, Mary Ann; Goodrick, Scott; Achtemeier, Gary; Hudak, Andrew; Dickson, Matthew; Potter, Brian; Clements, Craig; Urbanski, Shawn; Ottmar, Roger; Larkin, Narasimhan; Brown, Timothy; French, Nancy; Prichard, Susan; Watts, Adam; McNamara, Derek. 2017. Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation Experiment (FASMEE): Modeling gaps and data needs.
O'Neill, Susan; Urbanski, Shawn; Goodrick, Scott; Larkin, Sim. 2017. Smoke plumes: Emissions and effects.
Goodrick, Scott L.; Brown, Timothy J.; Jolly, W. Matt. 2017. Weather, fuels, fire behavior, plumes, and smoke - the nexus of fire meteorology.
Werth, Paul A.; Potter, Brian E.; Alexander, Martin E.; Clements, Craig B.; Cruz, Miguel G.; Finney, Mark A.; Forthofer, Jason M.; Goodrick, Scott L.; Hoffman, Chad; Jolly, W. Matt; McAllister, Sara S.; Ottmar, Roger D.; Parsons, Russell A. 2016. Synthesis of knowledge of extreme fire behavior: volume 2 for fire behavior specialists, researchers, and meteorologists.
Johnson Gaither, Cassandra; Goodrick, Scott; Murphy, Bryn Elise; Poudyal, Neelam. 2015. An exploratory spatial analysis of social vulnerability and smoke plum dispersion in the U.S.
Williams, Marcus D.; Goodrick, Scott L.; Grundstein, Andrew; Shepherd, Marshall. 2015. Comparison of dew point temperature estimation methods in Southwestern Georgia.
Davis, Aika Y.; Ottmar, Roger ; Liu, Yongqiang ; Goodrick, Scott ; Achtemeier, Gary ; Gullett, Brian ; Aurell, Johanna ; Stevens, William ; Greenwald, Roby ; Hu, Yongtao ; Russell, Armistead ; Hiers, J. Kevin; Odman, M. Talat. 2015. Fire emission uncertainties and their effect on smoke dispersion predictions: a case study at Eglin Air Force Base, Florida, USA.
Greenberg, C. H.; Goodrick, S.; Austin, J. D.; Parresol, B. R. 2015. Hydroregime prediction models for ephemeral groundwater-driven sinkhole wetlands: a planning tool for climate change and amphibian conservation.
Stanturf, John A.; Goodrick, Scott L.; Warren, Melvin L.; Charnley, Susan; Stegall, Christie M. 2015. Social vulnerability and Ebola virus disease in rural Liberia.
Liu, Yongqiang; Prestemon, Jeffrey P.; Goodrick, Scott L.; Holmes, Thomas P.; Stanturf, John A.; Vose, James M.; Sun, Ge. 2014. Future wildfire trends, impacts, and mitigation options in the Southern United States.
Liu, Yongqiang; Goodrick, Scott; Heilman, Warren. 2014. Wildland fire emissions, carbon, and climate: Wildfire–climate interactions.
Bedel, Anthony P.; Mote, Thomas L.; Goodrick, Scott L. 2013. Climate change and associated fire potential for the south-eastern United States in the 21st century.
Stanturf, John A.; Goodrick, Scott L. 2013. Fire.
Cunningham, Philip; Goodrick, Scott. 2013. High-resolution numerical models for smoke transport in plumes from wildland fires.
Hanley, Deborah E.; Cunningham, Philip; Goodrick, Scott. 2013. Interaction between a wildfire and the sea-breeze front.
Liu, Yongqiang; Goodrick, Scott; Achtemeier, Gary L.; Forbus, Ken; Combs, David. 2013. Smoke plume height measurement of prescribed burns in the south-eastern United States.
Goodrick, Scott L.; Stanturf, John A. 2012. Evaluating potential changes in fire risk from Eucalyptus plantings in the Southern United States.
Prestemon, Jeffrey P.; Chas-Amil, María L.; Touza, Julia M.; Goodrick, Scott L. 2012. Forecasting intentional wildfires using temporal and spatiotemporal autocorrelations.
Poudyal, Neelam; Johnson Gaither, Cassandra; Goodrick, Scott; Bowker, J.M.; Gan, Jianbang. 2012. Locating spatial variation in the association between wildland fire risk and social vulnerability across six southern states.
Achtemeier, G. L; Goodrick, S. L.; Liu, Y. 2012. Modeling Multiple-Core Updraft Plume Rise for an Aerial Ignition Prescribed Burn by Coupling Daysmoke with a Cellular Automata Fire Model.
Achtemeier, G L; Goodrick, S L; Liu, Y; Garcia-Menendez, F; Hu, Y; Odman, M. 2011. Modeling Smoke Plume-Rise and Dispersion from Southern United States Prescribed Burns with Daysmoke.
Forthofer, Jason M.; Goodrick, Scott L. 2011. Review of vortices in wildland fire.
Gaither, Cassandra Johnson; Poudyal, Neelam C.; Goodrick, Scott; Bowker, J. M.; Malone, Sparkle L; Gan, Jianbang. 2011. Wildland fire risk and social vulnerability in the Southeastern United States: An exploratory spatial data analysis approach.
Johnson Gaither, Cassandra; Poudyal, N.C.; Goodrick, S.; Bowker, J.M.; Malone, Sparkle L.; Gan, J. 2011. Wildland fire risk and social vulnerability in the Southeastern United States: An exploratory spatial data analysis approach.
Goodrick, Scott L.; Stanturf, John A. 2010. Conceptual framework for improved wind-related forest threat assessment in the Southeastern United States.
Liu, L.; Achtemeier, G.L.; Goodrick, S.L.; Jackson, W. 2010. Important parameters for smoke plume rise simulation with Daysmoke.
Liu, Y.; Stanturf, J.; Goodrick, S. 2010. Wildfire potential evaluation during a drought event with a regional climate model and NDVI.
Goodrick, S.L. 2009. Florida wildfire activity and atmospheric teleconnections.
Liu, Y.; Goodrick, S.; Achtemeier, G. 2009. Smoke incursions into urban areas: simulation of a Georgia prescribed burn.
Goodrick, S. 2008. Quantifying parametric uncertainty in the Rothermel model.
Liu, Yongqiang; Achtemeier, Gary; Goodrick, Scott. 2008. Sensitivity of air quality simulation to smoke plume rise.
Stanturf, John A.; Goodrick, Scott L.; Outcalt, Kenneth W. 2007. Disturbance and coastal forests: a strategic approach to forest management in hurricane impact zones.
Clements, Craig B.; Zhong, Shiyuan; Goodrick, Scott; Li, Ju, Potter.; Bian, Xindi; Heilman, Warren E.; Charney, Joseph J.; Perna, Ryan; Jang, Meongdo; Lee, Daegyun; Patel, Monica; Street, Susan; Aumann, Glenn. 2007. Observing The Dynamics Of Wildland Grass Fires: FireFlux -A Field Validation Experiment.
Mughal, Shahid M.; Hussaini, Yousuff M.; Goodrick, Scott L.; Cunningham, Philip. 2007. Role of buoyancy and heat release in fire modeling, propagation, and instability.
Jimenez, Edwin; Hussaini, M. Yousuff; Goodrick, Scott L. 2007. Uncertainty quantification in Rothermel's Model using an efficient sampling method.
Hoadley, Jeanne L.; Rorig, Miriam L.; Bradshaw, Larry; Ferguson, Sue A.; Westrick, Kenneth J.; Goodrick, Scott L.; Werth, Paul. 2006. Evaluation of MM5 model resolution when applied to prediction of national fire danger rating indexes.
Achtemeier, Gary L.; Goodrick, Scott; Liu, Yongqiang. 2005. A coupled modeling system for connecting prescribed fire activity data through CMAQ for simulating regional scale air quality.
Cunningham, Philip; Goodrick, Scott L.; Hussaini, M. Yousuff; Linn, Rodman R. 2005. Coherent vertical structures in numerical simulations of buoyant plumes from wildland fires.
Liu, Yongqiang; Achtemeier, Gary; Goodrick, Scott. 2005. Simulation and Experiment of Air Quality Effects of Prescribed Fires in the Southeast.
Hoadley, Jeanne L.; Westrick, Ken; Ferguson, Sue a.; Goodrick, Scott L.; Bradshaw, Larry; Wreth, Paul. 2004. The effect of model resolution in predicting meteorological parameters used in fire danger rating.
Hoadley, Jeanne L.; Westrick, Ken; Ferguson, Sue A.; Goodrick, Scott L.; Bradshaw, Larry; Werth, Paul. 2004. The effect of model resolution in predicting meteorological parameters used in fire danger rating.
Hoadley, Jeanne; Rorig, Miriam; Westrick, Ken; Bradshaw, Larry; Ferguson, Sue; Goodrick, Scott; Werth, Paul. 2003. Assessing the value of increased model resolution in forecasting fire danger.
Cunningham, Philip; Goodrick, Scott L.; Hussaini M. Yousuff, ; Linn, Rodman R.; Xia, Chunmei. 2003. Dynamics of fire plumes in verticle shear.
Xia, Chunmei; Hussaini, M. Yousuff; Cunningham, Philip; Linn, Rodman R.; Goodrick, Scott L. 2003. Numerical study of effects of atmosphere temperature profile on wildfire behavior.
Goodrick, Scott L. 2003. Relationship between atmospheric stability and area burned during the 1998 Florida wildfires.
Achtemeier, Gary L.; Goodrick, Scott L.; Liu, Yongqiang. 2003. The southern high-resolution modeling consortium - a source for research and operational collaboration.
Goodrick, Scott L. 2002. Modification of the Fosberg fire weather index to include drought.

Research Highlights

Climate Change and Associated Fire Potential for the Southeastern United States in the 21st century (2014): This study examines how fire potential may change in the Southeast during the 21st century. While previous studies have focused on changes in just temperature and precipitation, this study takes a broader approach and examines changes in relative humidity, atmospheric stability, and drought.
QUIC-Fire: A Fast, 3-D Simulation Tool for Prescribed Fire Planning (2020): QUIC-Fire is the first fast-running 3D-coupled fire-atmosphere model that incorporates high-resolution 3D vegetation structure, interactions between multiple firelines, and fire-atmosphere feedbacks, which are critical for predicting the behavior of complex ignition patterns common on prescribed fires. QUIC-Fire is intended to serve as a core component of a prescribed fire planning tool that will assist land managers in understanding how ignition patterns connect to fire effects and smoke impacts.
Repeated Application of Fuel Reduction Treatments in the Southern Appalachian Mountains: Implications for Achieving Management Goals (2016): Fire managers in the southern Appalachian Mountains have many questions about the long-term use of prescribed fire and mechanical treatments. Common objectives include restoration that creates open woodlands, oak regeneration, and fuel reduction. The southern Appalachian site of the National Fire and Fire Surrogate study has been burned three times and a mechanical treatment has been conducted twice since 2002. This Forest Service research provides information to managers about reaching each of these three management objectives using fuel reduction treatments.
Rethinking how we measure forest fuels for advancing wildland fire science and management (2018): Land managers depend on quality fire research to advance their understanding of wildland fire behavior. Cutting-edge fire behavior models output fire spread, fire intensity, and smoke plumes in three-dimensions, but forest fuels, which are used as model inputs, are not measured in similar dimensions. This research brings fuels to the forefront of fire ecology and fire science. Fuels, when measured appropriately, link fire behavior and forest response to fire – critical knowledge for frequently burned ecosystems.
The Hot-Dry-Windy Index improves fire weather forecasting (2018): A new tool helps fire managers anticipate when wildfires could become erratic or dangerous.
Wildfire in the United States: Future Trends and Potential (2012): Climate models project warming and increased droughts this century in the continental United States, so wildfire is likely to increase accordingly